Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

Outlook for Tuesday, July 9

Outlook Images

any severe low / uncertain

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 050841 SPC AC 050841

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024

Valid 081200Z - 131200Z

DISCUSSION

An upper-level trough will begin to lift northeastward out of the southern Plains early next week. This feature will generally lose amplitude slowly with time. The surface pattern will be nebulous across the eastern half of the CONUS. By the middle of the week, the mid-level jet may intensify in the Northeast and a surface low will develop and move out of the CONUS by next Thursday. Given this pattern, severe potential ahead of the upper trough appears rather marginal.

In addition to the upper-trough, the remnants of TC Beryl are currently forecast to turn eastward through Texas and into the Mid-South early to late next week. While some severe potential could develop ahead of this feature, predictability remains low at this time.

..Wendt.. 07/05/2024

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, July 5: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Saturday, July 6: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Sunday, July 7: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Monday, July 8: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, July 9: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, July 10: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, July 11: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, July 12: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.