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Outlook for Monday, December 23

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 210822

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2024

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

Discussion

A shortwave trough is expected to amplify over the Rockies and High Plains in advance of a more prominent upper trough approaching the California coast Monday night. Modest low-level moisture return will occur across Texas in advance of a southeastward-moving cold front crossing the southern High Plains and parts of Texas. The potential for elevated thunderstorms should increase Monday night particularly across North Texas and south-central/eastern Oklahoma to the ArkLaTex. This will be as forcing for ascent and elevated moisture transport increase regionally. Severe thunderstorms are not currently expected given access to only weak elevated buoyancy.

..Guyer.. 12/21/2024

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z

National Risk Overview

Saturday, December 21: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, December 22: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Monday, December 23: ANY SEVERE: low
Tuesday, December 24: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, December 25: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, December 26: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, December 27: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Saturday, December 28: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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