Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Tuesday, January 7

Outlook Images

any severe low / uncertain

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

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Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 040943 SPC AC 040943

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 AM CST Sat Jan 04 2025

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

DISCUSSION

A series of upper-level troughs are forecast to move through the central and eastern U.S. next week, as cold and dry high pressure dominates over most of the continental U.S. Conditions appear unfavorable for thunderstorms through Thursday/Day 6. On Friday/Day 7 into Friday night, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to move through the central U.S. At this time, a surface low is forecast to move from the northern Gulf of Mexico into the Southeast. Some moisture return will be possible with this system in the central Gulf Coast states on Friday/Day 7, where isolated thunderstorms will be possible. A few storms may again develop on Saturday/Day 8 as the systems affects the Florida Peninsula. No severe threat is expected in the Day 4 to 8 period.

..Broyles.. 01/04/2025

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National Risk Overview

Saturday, January 4: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, January 5: TORNADO: 10%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 30%
Monday, January 6: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Tuesday, January 7: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, January 8: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, January 9: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, January 10: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Saturday, January 11: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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