Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Thursday, January 16

Outlook Images

any severe low / uncertain

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

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Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 090940 SPC AC 090940

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025

Valid 121200Z - 171200Z

DISCUSSION

A northwest mid-level flow pattern is forecast to remain in place over the central U.S. throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. The northwesterly flow will help to drive multiple fronts southward into the central and eastern U.S, which will keep a relatively cold and dry airmass in place. For this reason, conditions are not expected to be favorable for thunderstorm development across the continental U.S. through the middle of next week.

..Broyles.. 01/09/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Thursday, January 9: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Friday, January 10: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, January 11: ANY SEVERE: low
Sunday, January 12: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Monday, January 13: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, January 14: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, January 15: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, January 16: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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