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Outlook for Saturday, February 1

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorm potential across the United States appears low on Saturday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 311658

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorm potential across the United States appears low on Saturday.

Synopsis

Low-amplitude, quasi-zonal upper level flow will emerge across the CONUS as a shortwave trough moves offshore the Atlantic coast early Saturday. At the surface, low pressure centered over southern portions of the Canadian Prairies will shift east, while a trailing cold front moves across the northern Rockies/High Plains region. A weak frontal zone across the FL Peninsula will dissipate, while strong surface high pressure persists across the eastern U.S. northern low-level flow across the western Atlantic and Gulf will result in a dry and stable airmass across much of the U.S. east of the Rockies.

Precipitation is more likely across portions of the Pacific Northwest as moist onshore deep-layer flow streams over the region. Cold midlevels will result in steep lapse rates and meager elevated instability. A lightning flash or two is possible along the WA coast with low-topped convection, but thunderstorm coverage is expected to remain less than 10 percent and more likely offshore.

..Leitman.. 01/31/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, January 31: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, February 1: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, February 2: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, February 3: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, February 4: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, February 5: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, February 6: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, February 7: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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