Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Wednesday, February 26

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Monday, February 24	potential too low
Day 5	Tuesday, February 25	potential too low
Day 6	Wednesday, February 26	potential too low
Day 7	Thursday, February 27	potential too low
Day 8	Friday, February 28	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 210921 SPC AC 210921

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0321 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Valid 241200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

A dry airmass will be in place across the CONUS for all of next week. A cold front will move south across the Gulf on Monday. While some moisture recovery will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday, another front will move into the northern Gulf on Wednesday night and keep moisture offshore. Therefore, thunderstorm activity should be minimal and severe thunderstorms remain unlikely through the extended forecast period.

..Bentley.. 02/21/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, February 21: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, February 22: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, February 23: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, February 24: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, February 25: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, February 26: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, February 27: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, February 28: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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