Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

Outlook for Thursday, April 10

Outlook Summary

Isolated severe storms capable of producing large hail and locally damaging gusts will be possible from the Lower Ohio River Valley to the Mid-Mississippi Valley and the Mid-South.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 081907

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY…MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…AND INTO THE MID-SOUTH

### SUMMARY

Isolated severe storms capable of producing large hail and locally damaging gusts will be possible from the Lower Ohio River Valley to the Mid-Mississippi Valley and the Mid-South.

Synopsis and Discussion

A mid-level trough will amplify across the eastern CONUS on Thursday with very cold mid-level temperatures (-22 to -26C at 500mb) expected from the Great Lakes to the Mid-South. These cold temperatures aloft will result in steep mid-level lapse rates which will support weak to potentially moderate instability by early-afternoon. Unidirectional flow, strengthening with height, will support storm organization including updraft rotation. Overall, the dry airmass, and thus relatively weak instability, should limit a greater threat. However, cold temperatures aloft and forecast soundings showing a deeply mixed boundary layer will support the potential for some large hail and damaging wind gusts.

The greatest threat for stronger supercells will exist along the cold front during peak heating (likely eastern Arkansas to northern Alabama and southern Tennessee) where better moisture/instability should be present. Despite a drier airmass farther north and east, the coldest air aloft will advect over this region and could support a threat as far northeast as far southern Ohio.

..Bentley.. 04/08/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, April 8: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Wednesday, April 9: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, April 10: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Friday, April 11: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Saturday, April 12: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, April 13: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, April 14: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, April 15: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.