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Outlook for Saturday, April 12

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 101930

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night.

Central Rockies to the Upper Midwest

A mid-level ridge will deamplify through the day on Saturday as a mid-level shortwave trough progresses out of the northern Rockies into the northern Plains. Large-scale ascent will strengthen near peak diurnal heating across parts of the central Rockies to the Black Hills. With limited buoyancy, isolated/short-lived thunderstorms are anticipated amid scattered high-based/low-topped showers. Where deeply mixed thermodynamic profiles exist in eastern WY and western SD, isolated strong wind gusts are possible.

As the low-level jet strengthens across the central Plains on Saturday night, sufficient elevated instability could support some thunderstorms across the Mid-Missouri Valley into the Upper Midwest. Limited moisture/instability should limit any large hail threat from this activity.

..Bentley.. 04/10/2025

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

National Risk Overview

Thursday, April 10
TORNADO: low
HAIL: 15%
WIND: 15%
Friday, April 11
TORNADO: 2%
HAIL: 5%
WIND: 5%
Saturday, April 12
ANY SEVERE: low
Sunday, April 13
ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, April 14
ANY SEVERE: 15%
Tuesday, April 15
ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, April 16
ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, April 17
ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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