Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, August 30
Outlook Summary
Severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts remain likely across portions of the northern Plains this evening.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 2%
wind 15%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 310057
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 310100Z - 311200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
### SUMMARY
Severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts remain likely across portions of the northern Plains this evening.
Northern Plains
Evening water-vapor imagery showed a strong, negative-tilt mid-level low and embedded shortwave trough ejecting eastward across southern SK into eastern MT. Accompanying the low, a prominent mid-level jet streak (60-70 kt) was quickly moving across the Rockies and into the Plains. A cold front, attendant to a surface low in southern Canada, will sweep quickly eastward across the Dakotas tonight.
A well-develop squall line was observed along/ahead of the front from southern SK/MB to northern SD this evening. Within the line, numerous strong to severe gusts have been observed thus far. Aided by the enhanced mid-level flow ahead of the advancing upper trough, ascent will continue to support the line as it moves eastward this evening. The air mass downstream in the eastern Dakotas has remained sheltered much of the day, but is very moist with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F. Given the presence of an established cold pool and sufficient deep-layer shear, especially along the southern portions of the squall line, the severe threat may continue eastward this evening across southern ND and SD into the late evening hours, with a risk for damaging gusts.
Eventually, increasing nocturnal inhibition and the weaker buoyancy should favor a decreasing severe risk. Convection may transition to more elevated structures above the more stable PBL with an isolated risk for occasional damaging gusts and some hail into the overnight hours across eastern ND and western MN.
Central Rockies and High Plains
At the base of the upper low and shortwave, scattered thunderstorms were ongoing from eastern UT into western/central CO this evening. Enhanced mid-level flow is supporting organized clusters and some rotating storms. Hail or severe gusts are possible. Convection should weaken as it enters the more stable and cooler higher terrain across central CO. Sporadic strong gusts or small hail remain possible withe more robust storms in the mountains through tonight.
East of the Divide, high-based showers and thunderstorms should increase in coverage this evening as a secondary mid-level vorticity maximum moves out over the Plains. Increasing ascent amid warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates (00z DDC sounding) should support strong downdrafts capable of severe gusts in the 60-75 mph range. 30-40 kt of deep-layer shear will support some conglomeration with hi-res model guidance showing a cluster or weak MCS moving across the High Plains of eastern CO, and western KS/NE this evening/tonight.
AZ
Scattered thunderstorms over the lower deserts should persist through this evening given very hot surface temperatures and seasonable monsoon moisture. Moderate buoyancy but weak deep-layer shear should support multicell storms. Steep low-level lapse rates could result in a few strong to severe gusts this evening.
..Lyons.. 08/31/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Monday, August 31
Outlook Summary
Sparse severe thunderstorms, accompanied by wind and hail, are possible Monday from the central Plains toward parts of the Upper Midwest.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind 5%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301722
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST COLORADO TO WISCONSIN
### SUMMARY
Sparse severe thunderstorms, accompanied by wind and hail, are possible Monday from the central Plains toward parts of the Upper Midwest.
Synopsis and Discussion
A deep upper low will move eastward across southern SK/MB on Monday, with 40-50 kt midlevel winds spreading across the Northern Plains and Upper MS Valley. Meanwhile, an upper high will centered from the Ozarks to the Mid MS/Lower OH Valleys. Farther west, modest southwest flow aloft will persist over much of the West, with a stronger shortwave trough moving into CA late.
At the surface, low pressure will occlude over SK/MB, with dry westerly winds over the Dakotas and into MN. South of this area, a weak surface trough/wind shift will remain, roughly from WI into IA and NE. Here, a moist air mass will exist, with 2000-3000 J/kg MUCAPE from IA into WI and northern IL. Lesser CAPE values will develop farther west across NE/KS/CO, with perhaps 1000-1500 J/kg MUCAPE.
Despite the larger instability over northern areas, forcing for ascent will be weak. However, areas of uncapped air mass may develop, possibly supporting isolated afternoon thunderstorms over WI. Conditionally, hail over 1.00" will be possible. Additional isolated activity is possible from IA into northern IL overnight.
A greater probability of thunderstorms in general will exist from CO into NE as an upper wave aloft travels northeast across the region late in the day. Strong heating over the central High Plains will support afternoon initiation near the Front Range, with clusters of storms producing strong to severe outflow, and propagating northeastward into NE. Initial activity could also produce marginally severe hail as effective shear averages near 45 kt.
..Jewell.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Tuesday, September 1
Outlook Summary
Scattered strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday over parts of New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Isolated severe storms may also extend westward into Nebraska.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301934
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN NEW YORK ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO NEW JERSEY
### SUMMARY
Scattered strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday over parts of New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Isolated severe storms may also extend westward into Nebraska.
Synopsis
A zone of moderate instability is forecast to stretch from the Upper Midwest eastward into parts of NY, PA and NJ on Tuesday. This will also be along a weak surface trough, where various areas of rain and thunderstorms will exist throughout the period. Anticyclonic flow aloft around the northern periphery of an upper ridge will yield 30-40 kt midlevel northwesterlies, and minor cooling aloft may occur as embedded disturbances move across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast.
Northeast
The greatest concentration of thunderstorms will be from NY into PA, both during the day and overnight. Early day storms will be possible from southern New England into NY, where elevated instability will exist. Destabilization will then occur south of this zone and possible outflows, with additional activity possible. Forcing for ascent should remain relatively weak, but sufficient convergence near any boundaries or an afternoon surface trough may support redevelopment. Elongated mid to upper level hodographs suggest cellular storm mode is possible, with hail and locally damaging gusts most likely. Overnight, additional activity is forecast as height falls occur upstream, and westerly winds at 850 mb maintain theta-e. Several models suggest storms moving out of Ontario overnight, with wind potential.
Nebraska into northwest Iowa and vicinity
Moderate southwest winds aloft will persist over this area, as daytime heating yield moderate instability. Some of this area may be affected by early day rain/storms, with boundary reinforcement. Strong heating and a developing southerly low-level jet should support new development, perhaps a supercell or two producing hail. Storm coverage may then increase during the evening and spread northeastward.
..Jewell.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
Outlook for Wednesday, September 2
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, September 3
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, September 4
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, September 5
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, September 6
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, August 30
- TORNADO: 2%
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 15%
- Monday, August 31
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 5%
- Tuesday, September 1
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Wednesday, September 2
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Thursday, September 3
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Friday, September 4
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Saturday, September 5
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Sunday, September 6
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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