Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, January 25
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 260028
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0628 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
01z Update
Strong 500mb speed max is translating across WV early this evening. As a result, primary corridor of warm advection is now focusing across the Middle Atlantic/southern New England where negligible buoyancy is noted. Deep convection has been confined to the trailing cold front across portions of the Southeast, and lightning with this activity has been decreasing over the last few hours. While 00z sounding from JAX exhibits around 300 J/kg MLCAPE, low-level convergence will gradually focus off the Atlantic coast later this evening as the front surges across this region. Given the limited instability, and the primary focus for ascent well north of this region, severe probabilities appear low the rest of tonight.
..Darrow.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Monday, January 26
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 251708
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1108 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.
Synopsis
A shortwave trough in the Upper Midwest will shift eastward and phase with the broader synoptic trough within the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic on Monday. This will push a reinforcing surface high pressure system southward into the southern Plains/lower Mississippi Valley regions. A cold front will also continue to sag southward in the Florida Peninsula. South of the front, modest buoyancy will remain. Even so, forcing for ascent will become increasingly removed from the region and thunderstorm development does not appear likely. Elsewhere, cold air/offshore trajectories will similarly prohibit thunderstorms.
..Wendt.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Tuesday, January 27
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 251913
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Synopsis
Upper-level troughing in the East and ridging in the West will be maintained on Tuesday. This pattern will reinforce cold, dry, and stable surface conditions across the CONUS. Thunderstorm development is unlikely.
..Wendt.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
Outlook for Wednesday, January 28
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, January 29
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, January 25
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Monday, January 26
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Tuesday, January 27
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Wednesday, January 28
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, January 29
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, January 30
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, January 31
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Your Severe Outlook
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