Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, August 30
Outlook Summary
Severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts are possible across portions of the northern Plains this afternoon and evening.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 2%
wind 15%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301214
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0714 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 301300Z - 311200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS
### SUMMARY
Severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts are possible across portions of the northern Plains this afternoon and evening.
MT/ND/SD
Morning water vapor loop shows a strong upper trough over ID tracking east-northeastward. This system will emerge onto the Plains of eastern MT/western Dakotas by late afternoon today, when strong heating will result in a corridor of surface temperatures near 90F along the MT/ND border ahead of an approaching cold front. Thunderstorms will intensify in vicinity of this front through the afternoon, tracking quickly eastward into parts of western/central ND/SD by 00z. Morning CAM solutions suggest storms will organize into a line with the risk of severe wind gusts. Given the strength of the low and mid-level flow near the front, that scenario seems plausible. Therefore have added a SLGT risk to parts of this region.
CO/KS/NE
South of the primary severe threat, a secondary area of concern will develop this afternoon as storms develop over the mountains of central CO and spread eastward into the Plains. This activity will be high-based and in a weakly unstable environment. Nevertheless, strong outflow winds will be possible with the activity, spreading eastward into western NE and northwest KS during the evening.
UT/Western CO
Considerable low-level moisture will remain over UT today, leading to another round of strong thunderstorms this afternoon. Deep-layer shear remains sufficient for rotating storms capable of damaging wind gusts and hail. Activity should spread into western CO by early evening before weakening.
..Hart/Broyles.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
Outlook for Monday, August 31
Outlook Summary
Sparse severe thunderstorms, accompanied by wind and hail, are possible tomorrow (Monday) from the central Plains toward parts of the Midwest.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind 5%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 300553
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST
### SUMMARY
Sparse severe thunderstorms, accompanied by wind and hail, are possible tomorrow (Monday) from the central Plains toward parts of the Midwest.
Synopsis
An upper ridge will remain in place over the central and eastern CONUS tomorrow (Sunday), with at least one low-amplitude mid-level trough and several other smaller-scale impulses poised to pivot around the upper ridge, overspreading the central High Plains to the Northeast in the process. Given the presence of these impulses atop a moist boundary layer, at least isolated thunderstorms are expected all along the northern periphery of the ridge. While thunderstorms will be more sparse over parts of the central Plains to the Midwest, cooler temperatures and stronger flow aloft overspreading the aforementioned moist boundary layer will foster enough buoyancy and shear to support a conditional severe threat.
Central Plains to the Midwest
A low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse the Upper MS Valley while a smaller mid-level impulse impinges on the central High Plains after dark. As such, upper support will be limited along an effective warm frontal boundary extending from central NE to far western WI during the day. Along this boundary, surface dewpoints should exceed 70 F as 7.5-8 C/km mid-level lapse rates are advected overhead from the west, yielding 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. Furthermore, modest westerly mid-level flow will also contribute to 35-40 kts of effective bulk shear, which is more than adequate for multicells and supercells should a storm develop and mature. Severe wind and hail would be the main threats with such a storm. Despite the favorable kinematic and thermodynamic parameter space, the severe threat remains quite conditional given the lack of upper support, as suggested by CAMS, which show little in the way of storm coverage. Given doubts on more than sparse storm coverage, only Marginal Risk probabilities remain in place.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Tuesday, September 1
Outlook Summary
At least a few storms capable of producing severe wind/hail and perhaps a tornado are all possible across portions of the Lower Hudson Valley on Tuesday.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 300723
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY
### SUMMARY
At least a few storms capable of producing severe wind/hail and perhaps a tornado are all possible across portions of the Lower Hudson Valley on Tuesday.
Synopsis
An upper ridge will become centered over the TN Valley on Tuesday as a mid-level trough becomes situated over the Interior West, and multiple embedded impulses overspread the Great Lakes and Northeast regions. Rich low-level moisture will become established along the periphery of the upper ridge, overspread by cooler temperatures and stronger flow aloft with the passage of the aforementioned impulses. Strong to severe thunderstorms may result, especially over portions of the Northeast.
Portions of the Northeast
Deterministic guidance members are beginning to demonstrate a consensus in depicting an embedded mid-level impulse ejecting from the Great Lakes and impinging on the lower Hudson Valley while pivoting around the upper ridge. While mid-level lapse rates accompanying this perturbation may not be particularly steep, (e.g. between 6.5-7 C/km), rich low-level moisture (e.g. low to mid 70s F dewpoints) will be present. Furthermore, forecast soundings depict appreciably curved and elongated hodographs, suggesting some storms may obtain supercell structures. A severe wind and hail threat may accompany the stronger storms and a tornado cannot be ruled out. There is the potential for earlier day clouds and precipitation, which may yield a differential heating zone. Should this occur, severe potential may be confined to this baroclinic boundary. Since the specifics on the placement of such a boundary are too difficult to pinpoint this far in advance, a Category 2/Slight Risk has been introduced with the understanding that these probabilities may be modified in future outlooks.
Parts of the Midwest
Deep-layer ascent will be limited farther west across the Midwest as a series of embedded impulses glance the region to the north. Nonetheless, 7+ C/km mid-level lapse rates will overspread 70+ F surface dewpoints from IA to lower MI Tuesday afternoon, yielding over 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. Appreciable sized hodographs will also coincide with this buoyancy as the eastern part of a strengthening low-level jet impinges on the Midwest. Given the limited ascent, storm coverage is highly uncertain and may end up being quite sparse at best. Nonetheless, Marginal Risk probabilities were introduced given the favorable thermodynamic/kinematic space within a close distance of the low-amplitude upper trough.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Wednesday, September 2
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, September 3
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, September 4
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, September 5
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, September 6
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, September 2 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, September 3 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Friday, September 4 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, September 5 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, September 6 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300837 SPC AC 300837
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
An upper ridge will remain centered over the TN Valley/central Appalachians through the end of the week before retrograding westward toward the Plains by next weekend. Multiple mid-level impulses and shortwave troughs will traverse the upper ridge this week before upper troughing dominates the Interior West toward the end of the extended forecast period. The best chances for severe thunderstorms will be with the aforementioned impulses traversing the ridge over the Great Lakes to the East Coast, particularly during the middle of the week.
Days 4-6 (Wednesday-Friday) - Northeast to Mid-Atlantic
Severe probabilities have been maintained for portions of the lower Hudson Valley into the Mid-Atlantic Day 4/Wednesday, as guidance consensus continues to show a well-timed shortwave trough overspreading this region. Medium-range guidance continues to show a convective precipitation signal accompanying this impulse along with appreciable buoyancy and vertical wind shear. It should be noted that convective overturning from Day 3 (Tuesday) storms may stabilize part of this area, with the specific location of storms becoming dependent on residual baroclinic boundaries. As such, the exact placement of Wednesday's severe probabilities may need to be adjusted accordingly.
Likewise, for Day 5/Thursday, another mid-level impulse will traverse the northeast extent of the upper ridge and overspread the Mid-Atlantic. Given adequate buoyancy and shear likely remaining in place, 15 percent severe probabilities have been introduced. As with the previous day, these probabilities may need some adjustment in future outlooks based on where airmass modification along baroclinic zones occurs.
Medium-range guidance continues to show a pronounced mid-level impulse, accompanied by adequate deep-layer shear and buoyancy, impinging on the Mid-Atlantic on Day 6/Friday, which would support at least an isolated severe threat. ML/AI guidance also suggests that the Friday severe threat would encompass the ending stages of a potential multi-day severe episode. Given the multiple preceding days of storms and constant shift in favorable corridors modulated by baroclinic zones, confidence is very low for realistically pinpointing a focused severe area. However, it appears the Delmarva may be the most likely area for seeing organized storm activity.
..Squitieri.. 08/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, August 30
- TORNADO: 2%
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 15%
- Monday, August 31
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 5%
- Tuesday, September 1
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Wednesday, September 2
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Thursday, September 3
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Friday, September 4
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Saturday, September 5
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Sunday, September 6
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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