Severe Weather Outlook
Hayley here
- Do you like
lofi music
whatever music Hayley put on
and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!
* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with
National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301600
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 301630Z - 311200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
Synopsis and Discussion
A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential.
..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday).
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301658
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday).
Synopsis
A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 300831
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night.
DISCUSSION
An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Monday, February 2
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Tuesday, February 3
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Wednesday, February 4
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, February 5
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, February 6
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Friday, January 30
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Saturday, January 31
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Monday, February 2
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Tuesday, February 3
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Wednesday, February 4
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, February 5
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, February 6
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Your Severe Outlook
Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.
Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.
Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.
About Severe Weather Outlook . com
SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.
- tornado hq - live severe weather warnings
- cyclocane - hurricanes/typhoons/cyclones
- tornado solitaire - play cards while you monitor the US severe weather threat
- tertremo - live view of earthquakes around the world
- earthquake solitaire - get live earthquake updates as you play your favorite card game