TORNADO HQ: waiting on update ...

Finding your location risk...

Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!


* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week

Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.

Overview of the threat for the next few days

Tuesday, April 14
Wednesday, April 15
Thursday, April 16
Friday, April 17
Saturday, April 18
Sunday, April 19
Monday, April 20
Tuesday, April 21

Outlook for Tuesday, April 14

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from the southern Plains into the Midwest. Large hail, several tornadoes (some strong), and swaths of severe/damaging gusts are all likely, particularly from eastern Iowa into the southern Great Lakes.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 10%

wind 30%

hail 30%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 150054

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are expected through tonight from the southern Plains into the Midwest. Large hail, several tornadoes (some strong), and swaths of severe/damaging gusts are all likely, particularly from eastern Iowa into the southern Great Lakes.

Synopsis

Scattered discrete/semi-discrete supercells are ongoing across eastern Iowa, far northern Illinois, and southern Wisconsin along a diffuse warm frontal zone stretching eastward from weak surface low analyzed over eastern NE/western IA. The primary severe risk through the overnight hours will be associated with this activity as it spreads southeast through early morning. Further south across the central/southern Plains, poorly organized convection casts uncertainty in the nocturnal severe threat; however, a favorable environment will remain in place through Wednesday morning and could support severe convection.

Midwest/Great Lakes

01 UTC regional radar mosaics show semi-discrete supercells ongoing across far eastern IA, northern IL, and southern WI with the early stages of upscale growth evident as storms interactions increase. This trend will continue through the overnight hours as this activity propagates east/southeast into lower MI and northern IN. The recent 00z DVN RAOB sampled a convective environment highly favorable for organized convection, which will maintain the potential for significant hail and tornadoes in the near term (most likely through 03 UTC) before a full transition to a linear mode takes place. Once this transition occurs, severe winds (including the potential for significant gusts in excess of 75 mph) and embedded circulations appear probable for areas downstream.

Southern Iowa into Kansas

Thunderstorm development along a southward sagging cold front is anticipated in the coming hours across northeast KS into southern IA. Regional soundings sampled adequate buoyancy and strong deep-layer wind shear (around 50 knots) that will likely support organized convection along the front for a few hours. Storm motions along the boundary may foster clustering/upscale growth, but a severe wind, hail, and perhaps tornado threat is expected to materialize through the night.

Oklahoma into Texas

Convective evolution thus far across western OK into northwest TX has been relatively lackluster given the otherwise buoyant and strongly sheared environment sampled by the 00z OUN sounding. This is likely due to expansive convective outflows resulting in undercutting and clustered storm modes as well as the presence of a subsidence inversion (also noted in the 00z sounding). It remains unclear whether or not this activity will be able to re-intensify through the late evening hours given. However, strengthening flow fields through 06 UTC may support some degree of improved organization and a more robust severe threat. This potential is hinted by recent HRRR solutions, but overall confidence is limited. Based on these trends, opted to remove the 30% hail/wind probabilities given low confidence in severe coverage. Further south into western TX, attempts at sustained convection have been noted over the past hour along the dryline, but downstream inhibition may limit overall storm coverage.

..Moore.. 04/15/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Wednesday, April 15

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms posing a risk for large hail, strong wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes will be possible across portions of the southern Plains toward the Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 5%

wind 15%

hail 15%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 141738

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN…AND FROM NORTHERN OHIO INTO PENNSYLVANIA

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms posing a risk for large hail, strong wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes will be possible across portions of the southern Plains toward the Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Synopsis

A positive-tilt upper trough will be located over the central Plains on Wednesday and will move across the MS Valley and toward the Great Lakes late. Moderate to strong mid to high level southwesterlies will exist over much of the central and southern Plains, along with cool temperatures aloft. Meanwhile, an upper ridge will hold over the Southeast, with moderate winds aloft along the periphery of the upper ridge extending from the OH Valley into the Northeast.

At the surface, low pressure will develop into IA as the upper wave moves out of NE and KS. A front/dryline will extend south across eastern KS, western OK and west central TX during the day. Meanwhile, an elongated stationary front will extend from IA into southern WI/MI and into the lower Great Lakes, with more of a warm front into NY and southern New England. Mid to upper 60s F dewpoints will remain roughly from TX into IA, with lower 60s F dewpoints along the length of the stationary front.

TX/OK/KS/IA/MO/IL

A focused area of severe storm potential will develop south of the developing low and along the dryline during the afternoon. Although the wave will be moving away from OK/TX, the dryline should stall with strong instability developing and MLCAPE over 3000 J/kg. Minimal lift will be required near the dryline to initiate afternoon storms, possibly before 21Z. Cells should develop from northwest TX across OK and into southeast KS, and gain strength as 50-60 kt effective shear acts upon them. Both supercells and bowing structures will be possible, with areas of very large hail and damaging winds expected. A few tornadoes may occur given the strong instability and midlevel lapse rates, despite marginal low-level wind fields.

Farther north, another zone of supercell potential is evident from northern MO into IA and western IL late in the day ahead of the shortwave trough. Here, deep-layer shear vector orientation will be quite favorable for discrete cells, with hail likely. Any early day storms may affect warm sector quality, but conditionally, a tornado will be possible.

From WI/IL eastward into PA

Areas of heating and warm advection toward the frontal zone will result in widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms erupting over IL, IN, southern WI, northern OH and into western PA by 21Z. Favorable deep-layer shear averaging near 40 kt and at least 1500 J/kg MUCAPE along this zone will favor storms producing hail and locally damaging gusts. Storm modes may be mixed.

..Jewell.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Thursday, April 16

Outlook Summary

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday extending from southeast Missouri across the Ohio Valley and into parts of New York.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 141915

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGION INTO PARTS OF NEW YORK

### SUMMARY

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday extending from southeast Missouri across the Ohio Valley and into parts of New York.

Synopsis

A progressive pattern will persist on Thursday, with a leading shortwave trough moving quickly across OH valley into the Northeast. This wave will breakdown the ridge along the East Coast, and provide a focus for scattered strong storms. Low-level warm advection out of the west/southwest will help destabilize the region with storms most likely during the afternoon from the Lower Great Lake across much of upstate NY and northern PA. Instability will be sufficient to support a few fast-moving cells capable of marginal hail and locally damaging gusts.

To the southeast, storm coverage is less certain, particularly from AR/MO into the lower OH Valley. Here, cool temperatures aloft will linger, aiding instability, though somewhat behind the upper trough affecting the northeastern states. Showers and storms are most likely in the morning in association with the main wave, but conditional severe probabilities will be higher during the afternoon when instability redevelops. Any storms that form will be capable of producing hail, from MO into AR, western TN/KY, IL and IN.

..Jewell.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Friday, April 17

Outlook Images

any severe 30%

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Friday, April 17 30%
Day 5 Saturday, April 18 15%
Day 6 Sunday, April 19 predictability too low
Day 7 Monday, April 20 potential too low
Day 8 Tuesday, April 21 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 140846 SPC AC 140846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

CORRECTED FOR DAY 5 GRAPHIC LABEL

DISCUSSION

Day 4/Friday - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest

A strong upper trough oriented from Montana to the Southwest will eject eastward to the Plains on Friday/Friday night. Southwesterly mid/upper flow will intensify ahead of this feature, with 40-60 kt 850-700 mb flow forecast by late afternoon into the nighttime hours. A somewhat complex surface pattern is forecast, with a lee low deepening over the central/southern High Plains to western OK, and a second surface low near the Mid-Missouri Valley developing northeast into Ontario. A surface dryline will extend from the High Plains low to near the western OK/TX panhandle border into central TX by midday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be oriented from eastern MN into central KS at midday.

Ahead of these surface features, a broad warm sector characterized by mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will be in place as temperatures warm into the 80s F. A plume of steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread the region, resulting in moderate to strong destabilization. Forecast soundings indicated impressive wind profiles supporting supercells. Initial supercell storms capable of all hazards (including very large hail and strong tornadoes) are expected. During the evening, convection may grow upscale into a squall line as storms near the Mississippi River, with an accompanying increase in damaging wind potential.

Day 5/Saturday - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes vicinity

A severe risk will likely continue into Saturday as the upper trough continues to strengthen and shift east from the Plains to the Great Lakes/Midwest. Strong deep-layer flow parallel to an eastward-advancing cold front will overspread a moist and at least weakly unstable downstream airmass through evening. This will favor a line of convection with damaging wind potential.

Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday

The surface cold front will continue east on Sunday, moving offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon. Severe potential appears limited by weak instability and mainly anafrontal precipitation across the Southeast to Eastern U.S. on Sunday. Surface high pressure and a dearth of boundary layer moisture in the wake of the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity on Monday. By the end of the period, medium range guidance depicts another upper trough moving into the western U.S. and Gulf return flow will advect moisture back into the southern Plains. However, severe thunderstorm potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Saturday, April 18

Outlook Images

any severe 15%

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Friday, April 17 30%
Day 5 Saturday, April 18 15%
Day 6 Sunday, April 19 predictability too low
Day 7 Monday, April 20 potential too low
Day 8 Tuesday, April 21 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 140846 SPC AC 140846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

CORRECTED FOR DAY 5 GRAPHIC LABEL

DISCUSSION

Day 4/Friday - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest

A strong upper trough oriented from Montana to the Southwest will eject eastward to the Plains on Friday/Friday night. Southwesterly mid/upper flow will intensify ahead of this feature, with 40-60 kt 850-700 mb flow forecast by late afternoon into the nighttime hours. A somewhat complex surface pattern is forecast, with a lee low deepening over the central/southern High Plains to western OK, and a second surface low near the Mid-Missouri Valley developing northeast into Ontario. A surface dryline will extend from the High Plains low to near the western OK/TX panhandle border into central TX by midday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be oriented from eastern MN into central KS at midday.

Ahead of these surface features, a broad warm sector characterized by mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will be in place as temperatures warm into the 80s F. A plume of steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread the region, resulting in moderate to strong destabilization. Forecast soundings indicated impressive wind profiles supporting supercells. Initial supercell storms capable of all hazards (including very large hail and strong tornadoes) are expected. During the evening, convection may grow upscale into a squall line as storms near the Mississippi River, with an accompanying increase in damaging wind potential.

Day 5/Saturday - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes vicinity

A severe risk will likely continue into Saturday as the upper trough continues to strengthen and shift east from the Plains to the Great Lakes/Midwest. Strong deep-layer flow parallel to an eastward-advancing cold front will overspread a moist and at least weakly unstable downstream airmass through evening. This will favor a line of convection with damaging wind potential.

Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday

The surface cold front will continue east on Sunday, moving offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon. Severe potential appears limited by weak instability and mainly anafrontal precipitation across the Southeast to Eastern U.S. on Sunday. Surface high pressure and a dearth of boundary layer moisture in the wake of the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity on Monday. By the end of the period, medium range guidance depicts another upper trough moving into the western U.S. and Gulf return flow will advect moisture back into the southern Plains. However, severe thunderstorm potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Sunday, April 19

Outlook Images

any severe predictability too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Friday, April 17 30%
Day 5 Saturday, April 18 15%
Day 6 Sunday, April 19 predictability too low
Day 7 Monday, April 20 potential too low
Day 8 Tuesday, April 21 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 140846 SPC AC 140846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

CORRECTED FOR DAY 5 GRAPHIC LABEL

DISCUSSION

Day 4/Friday - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest

A strong upper trough oriented from Montana to the Southwest will eject eastward to the Plains on Friday/Friday night. Southwesterly mid/upper flow will intensify ahead of this feature, with 40-60 kt 850-700 mb flow forecast by late afternoon into the nighttime hours. A somewhat complex surface pattern is forecast, with a lee low deepening over the central/southern High Plains to western OK, and a second surface low near the Mid-Missouri Valley developing northeast into Ontario. A surface dryline will extend from the High Plains low to near the western OK/TX panhandle border into central TX by midday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be oriented from eastern MN into central KS at midday.

Ahead of these surface features, a broad warm sector characterized by mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will be in place as temperatures warm into the 80s F. A plume of steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread the region, resulting in moderate to strong destabilization. Forecast soundings indicated impressive wind profiles supporting supercells. Initial supercell storms capable of all hazards (including very large hail and strong tornadoes) are expected. During the evening, convection may grow upscale into a squall line as storms near the Mississippi River, with an accompanying increase in damaging wind potential.

Day 5/Saturday - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes vicinity

A severe risk will likely continue into Saturday as the upper trough continues to strengthen and shift east from the Plains to the Great Lakes/Midwest. Strong deep-layer flow parallel to an eastward-advancing cold front will overspread a moist and at least weakly unstable downstream airmass through evening. This will favor a line of convection with damaging wind potential.

Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday

The surface cold front will continue east on Sunday, moving offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon. Severe potential appears limited by weak instability and mainly anafrontal precipitation across the Southeast to Eastern U.S. on Sunday. Surface high pressure and a dearth of boundary layer moisture in the wake of the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity on Monday. By the end of the period, medium range guidance depicts another upper trough moving into the western U.S. and Gulf return flow will advect moisture back into the southern Plains. However, severe thunderstorm potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Monday, April 20

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Friday, April 17 30%
Day 5 Saturday, April 18 15%
Day 6 Sunday, April 19 predictability too low
Day 7 Monday, April 20 potential too low
Day 8 Tuesday, April 21 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 140846 SPC AC 140846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

CORRECTED FOR DAY 5 GRAPHIC LABEL

DISCUSSION

Day 4/Friday - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest

A strong upper trough oriented from Montana to the Southwest will eject eastward to the Plains on Friday/Friday night. Southwesterly mid/upper flow will intensify ahead of this feature, with 40-60 kt 850-700 mb flow forecast by late afternoon into the nighttime hours. A somewhat complex surface pattern is forecast, with a lee low deepening over the central/southern High Plains to western OK, and a second surface low near the Mid-Missouri Valley developing northeast into Ontario. A surface dryline will extend from the High Plains low to near the western OK/TX panhandle border into central TX by midday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be oriented from eastern MN into central KS at midday.

Ahead of these surface features, a broad warm sector characterized by mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will be in place as temperatures warm into the 80s F. A plume of steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread the region, resulting in moderate to strong destabilization. Forecast soundings indicated impressive wind profiles supporting supercells. Initial supercell storms capable of all hazards (including very large hail and strong tornadoes) are expected. During the evening, convection may grow upscale into a squall line as storms near the Mississippi River, with an accompanying increase in damaging wind potential.

Day 5/Saturday - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes vicinity

A severe risk will likely continue into Saturday as the upper trough continues to strengthen and shift east from the Plains to the Great Lakes/Midwest. Strong deep-layer flow parallel to an eastward-advancing cold front will overspread a moist and at least weakly unstable downstream airmass through evening. This will favor a line of convection with damaging wind potential.

Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday

The surface cold front will continue east on Sunday, moving offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon. Severe potential appears limited by weak instability and mainly anafrontal precipitation across the Southeast to Eastern U.S. on Sunday. Surface high pressure and a dearth of boundary layer moisture in the wake of the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity on Monday. By the end of the period, medium range guidance depicts another upper trough moving into the western U.S. and Gulf return flow will advect moisture back into the southern Plains. However, severe thunderstorm potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Tuesday, April 21

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Friday, April 17 30%
Day 5 Saturday, April 18 15%
Day 6 Sunday, April 19 predictability too low
Day 7 Monday, April 20 potential too low
Day 8 Tuesday, April 21 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 140846 SPC AC 140846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

CORRECTED FOR DAY 5 GRAPHIC LABEL

DISCUSSION

Day 4/Friday - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest

A strong upper trough oriented from Montana to the Southwest will eject eastward to the Plains on Friday/Friday night. Southwesterly mid/upper flow will intensify ahead of this feature, with 40-60 kt 850-700 mb flow forecast by late afternoon into the nighttime hours. A somewhat complex surface pattern is forecast, with a lee low deepening over the central/southern High Plains to western OK, and a second surface low near the Mid-Missouri Valley developing northeast into Ontario. A surface dryline will extend from the High Plains low to near the western OK/TX panhandle border into central TX by midday. Meanwhile, a cold front will be oriented from eastern MN into central KS at midday.

Ahead of these surface features, a broad warm sector characterized by mid/upper 60s F dewpoints will be in place as temperatures warm into the 80s F. A plume of steep midlevel lapse rates will overspread the region, resulting in moderate to strong destabilization. Forecast soundings indicated impressive wind profiles supporting supercells. Initial supercell storms capable of all hazards (including very large hail and strong tornadoes) are expected. During the evening, convection may grow upscale into a squall line as storms near the Mississippi River, with an accompanying increase in damaging wind potential.

Day 5/Saturday - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes vicinity

A severe risk will likely continue into Saturday as the upper trough continues to strengthen and shift east from the Plains to the Great Lakes/Midwest. Strong deep-layer flow parallel to an eastward-advancing cold front will overspread a moist and at least weakly unstable downstream airmass through evening. This will favor a line of convection with damaging wind potential.

Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday

The surface cold front will continue east on Sunday, moving offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon. Severe potential appears limited by weak instability and mainly anafrontal precipitation across the Southeast to Eastern U.S. on Sunday. Surface high pressure and a dearth of boundary layer moisture in the wake of the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity on Monday. By the end of the period, medium range guidance depicts another upper trough moving into the western U.S. and Gulf return flow will advect moisture back into the southern Plains. However, severe thunderstorm potential appears low at this time.

..Leitman.. 04/14/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, April 14
TORNADO: 10%
HAIL: 30%
WIND: 30%
Wednesday, April 15
TORNADO: 5%
HAIL: 15%
WIND: 15%
Thursday, April 16
ANY SEVERE: 5%
Friday, April 17
ANY SEVERE: 30%
Saturday, April 18
ANY SEVERE: 15%
Sunday, April 19
ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, April 20
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, April 21
ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.


Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

 

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →


About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.