Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, April 12
Outlook Summary
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across portions of central Texas and perhaps central/western Oklahoma.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 2%
wind 5%
hail 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 130049
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS
### SUMMARY
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across portions of central Texas and perhaps central/western Oklahoma.
Synopsis
Mid-evening surface observations reveal an expansive warm sector from the TX coast northward into the Plains and upper MS Valley. Despite a high-quality thermodynamic environment throughout much of this warm sector, a combination of residual capping across the upper MS Valley and/or very weak ascent in the wake of an upper-level disturbance is limiting the overall potential for thunderstorms outside of the southern Plains. Across the West, convective coverage is gradually diminishing and will continue to dwindle heading into the late evening hours as nocturnal cooling begins to increase inhibition.
Southern Plains
The most intense convection currently resides to the west of the I-35 corridor in central TX where strong to severe thunderstorms have developed on the western fringe of an expanding cold pool. MLCAPE values to the west of the cold pool were recently sampled near 2500 J/kg by the DRT and OUN soundings with around 30-35 knots of effective bulk shear also noted. This environment is favorable for organized convection, including splitting supercells with some potential for large to very large hail. However, close proximity to the residual cold pool should limit the overall spatial extent of this threat, and most guidance depicts this activity waning later tonight in the absence of persistent forcing for ascent.
Further north into western Oklahoma and northwest TX, continued cumulus development along a diffuse dryline is noted in GOES imagery. While storm development appears unlikely given the approaching onset of nocturnal cooling, the downstream environment remains highly favorable for intense convection per the 00z OUN RAOB, and recent RRFS solutions hint at the potential for convection within the next 1-3 hours (though these solutions appear to be outliers compared to other guidance). Given this signal and the favorable environment, opted to maintain 5% hail/wind probabilities to account for this low-probability, but potentially high impact scenario.
..Moore.. 04/13/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Monday, April 13
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms are likely across the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region with potential for large to very large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes. A more conditional and isolated risk for severe storms is possible across portions of the southern Plains on Monday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 5%
wind 15%
hail 30%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 121727
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL WISCONSIN
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are likely across the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region with potential for large to very large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes. A more conditional and isolated risk for severe storms is possible across portions of the southern Plains on Monday.
Synopsis
A southwesterly flow regime will continue from the southern Plains to the Upper Midwest on Monday. Low-amplitude upper ridging will move across the Upper Midwest during the day ahead of a shortwave trough moving across the northern Plains. The shortwave will shift east across the Great Lakes overnight. Meanwhile, an upper trough from the northern Rockies to offshore the southern CA coast will pivot eastward toward the Four Corners region. At the surface, low pressure near the SD/NE border will develop east along the MN/IA border to central WI. Lee troughing will persist across the Plains. A dryline will extend southwest from the Mid-MO Valley into western OK/TX, while a warm front extends from southern MN into southern/central WI. These boundaries will become a focus for severe thunderstorm development during the afternoon/evening.
Upper Midwest
Along and south of the surface warm front across MN into southern/central WI, strong daytime heating will be occurring amid dew points in the low to mid 60s. This will yield moderate to strong instability with MLCAPE around 2000-3000 J/kg. A plume of steep low to mid-level lapse rates will also impinge upon the region through the afternoon. Capping will likely suppress thunderstorm activity for much of the day as the shortwave upper ridge moves across the region. By the late afternoon/early evening, a shortwave trough will overspread the region with an increase in the low-level jet. Thunderstorm activity is expected to develop, with initially elevated supercells likely given strong deep layer shear and thermodynamic profiles. These will be capable of large to very large hail (some 2-3+ inches in diameter). Should any supercells be able to anchor to the warm front and become surface based, the threat for a tornado or two (possibly strong) will increase given large clockwise curved hodographs indicative of favorable low-level shear. An Enhanced Risk was included with this outlook driven by the hail potential. Convection will spread eastward with time into MI, continuing to pose a risk for hail overnight.
Central/Southern Plains.
A conditional severe risk will extend further down the dryline into the central/southern Plains for the afternoon/evening. Strong daytime heating will yield very warm temperatures ahead of the dryline but most convective temperatures are near or exceeding 90F. Forecast soundings indicate strong capping in place across much of the region through the afternoon with generally weak forcing for ascent outside of the dryline circulation, which will likely inhibit a more widespread severe risk. Nonetheless, moderate to strong instability will overlap increasing deep layer shear as the low-level jet increases through the evening. An isolated supercell threat will be possible along the dryline, with greater confidence along the Red River in northern TX/southwestern OK and further south into Texas near the Rio Grande Valley. Should supercells develop, the main risk will be for large to very large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter).
..Thornton.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Tuesday, April 14
Outlook Summary
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 121930
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES
### SUMMARY
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes.
Synopsis
The western US trough will eject across the Rockies on Tuesday with strengthening westerly flow overspreading the Plains into the Great Lakes Region. A surface low will deepen across western KS/NE with a warm front lifting across the Lower Missouri Valley into the Great Lakes and sharpening dryline across the southern/central Plains. A cold front will sag southward across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. The surface trough/dryline and the boundary across the Great Lakes will become a focus for thunderstorm activity through the forecast period.
Lower MO Valley to the Great Lakes
Convective coverage will overlap the start of the period near 12z on Tuesday across portions of the Midwest/Great Lakes Region. Trends are for relatively quick clearing across portions of central Iowa into Illinois. As the warm front lifts northward, strong daytime heating is expected amid dew points in the low to mid 60s. It is likely the air mass will recover with potential for moderate to strong instability by the afternoon. Stronger height falls are not expected across the region, as the main upper trough will be focused well to the southwest. However, warm advection atop a southward-sagging surface boundary should support isolated to scattered storm development by late afternoon/evening. The primary risk will be for large to very large hail ( some 2.5"+ in diameter) and damaging wind.
By late afternoon/evening, 700 mb flow will strengthen (around 50-60 kts) with a plume of steep low to mid-level lapse rate nosing into central Iowa/northern Illinois from the southwest. The 850 mb low-level jet also increases, with large clockwise curved hodographs developing with the resulting increase in low-level shear. If supercells can develop and maintain residency along or south of the warm front, a corridor of greater tornado risk (a couple of which may be strong tornadoes) may present itself.
Consideration was given to a 30 percent area (primarily hail driven). With some uncertainty remaining in morning convection and coverage of storms in the afternoon/evening, the 15% was maintained with this outlook until more information can be gleaned from hi-res guidance.
Southern Plains
Ahead of the dryline across the Southern Plains, strong daytime heating is expected. Large-scale ascent will begin overspreading the region by late afternoon/evening as the western upper trough finally begins to eject eastward. As this occurs, mixing and convergence along a surface dryline should support storm development by around 00z. If little convective development occurs on D2/Monday, a relatively undisturbed moist/very unstable air mass will be in place. It is likely that rather robust thunderstorm development will occur along the dryline, with the primary mode being supercelluar. Large to very large hail (2 to locally 2.5+ inches in diameter), damaging wind, and a couple of tornadoes will be possible. Given that deep layer shear profiles have more of a parallel component to the dryline, storm interactions may keep the period of more discrete supercell thunderstorms short, with a shift to clusters of mix-mode supercell and multi-cell storms.
..Thornton.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
Outlook for Wednesday, April 15
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, April 15 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, April 16 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, April 17 | 15% |
| Day 7 | Saturday, April 18 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, April 19 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120839 SPC AC 120839
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 151200Z - 201200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Southern Plains to southern Wisconsin
An upper trough will be oriented over the central/southern High Plains Wednesday morning. This feature will shift east to the Mississippi River by Thursday morning. As this occurs, strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread a moist and unstable airmass from TX toward the Great Lakes. Some convection may be ongoing Wednesday morning, resulting in some uncertainty regarding airmass recovery and convective evolution during the afternoon/evening. However, persistent southerly low-level flow ahead of a dryline and continued warm advection should support areas of airmass recovery. A mix of supercells and linear segments will be possible, posing an all-hazards severe risk.
Day 5/Thu
Severe potential should be lower on Thursday as the upper trough and weakens at it shifts east across the Ohio Valley. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into the TN Valley, with modest instability and limited heating tempering severe potential.
Day 6/Fri - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest
Medium range guidance has been fairly consistent the past several forecast cycles in bringing a large-scale upper eastward from the Rockies into the Plains Friday/Friday night. This should result in surface cyclogenesis across portions of the Upper Midwest with a trailing cold front extending into the southern Plains. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist/unstable airmass will be in place beneath strengthening southwesterly deep-layer flow. This should support a severe risk ahead of the front.
Days 7-8/Sat-Sun
The upper trough will continue east over the eastern U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. Stronger ascent will shift northeast into Canada. Deep-layer flow parallel to the surface front and a narrowing warm sector should limit severe potential.
..Leitman.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, April 16
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, April 15 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, April 16 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, April 17 | 15% |
| Day 7 | Saturday, April 18 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, April 19 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120839 SPC AC 120839
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 151200Z - 201200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Southern Plains to southern Wisconsin
An upper trough will be oriented over the central/southern High Plains Wednesday morning. This feature will shift east to the Mississippi River by Thursday morning. As this occurs, strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread a moist and unstable airmass from TX toward the Great Lakes. Some convection may be ongoing Wednesday morning, resulting in some uncertainty regarding airmass recovery and convective evolution during the afternoon/evening. However, persistent southerly low-level flow ahead of a dryline and continued warm advection should support areas of airmass recovery. A mix of supercells and linear segments will be possible, posing an all-hazards severe risk.
Day 5/Thu
Severe potential should be lower on Thursday as the upper trough and weakens at it shifts east across the Ohio Valley. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into the TN Valley, with modest instability and limited heating tempering severe potential.
Day 6/Fri - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest
Medium range guidance has been fairly consistent the past several forecast cycles in bringing a large-scale upper eastward from the Rockies into the Plains Friday/Friday night. This should result in surface cyclogenesis across portions of the Upper Midwest with a trailing cold front extending into the southern Plains. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist/unstable airmass will be in place beneath strengthening southwesterly deep-layer flow. This should support a severe risk ahead of the front.
Days 7-8/Sat-Sun
The upper trough will continue east over the eastern U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. Stronger ascent will shift northeast into Canada. Deep-layer flow parallel to the surface front and a narrowing warm sector should limit severe potential.
..Leitman.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, April 17
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, April 15 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, April 16 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, April 17 | 15% |
| Day 7 | Saturday, April 18 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, April 19 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120839 SPC AC 120839
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 151200Z - 201200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Southern Plains to southern Wisconsin
An upper trough will be oriented over the central/southern High Plains Wednesday morning. This feature will shift east to the Mississippi River by Thursday morning. As this occurs, strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread a moist and unstable airmass from TX toward the Great Lakes. Some convection may be ongoing Wednesday morning, resulting in some uncertainty regarding airmass recovery and convective evolution during the afternoon/evening. However, persistent southerly low-level flow ahead of a dryline and continued warm advection should support areas of airmass recovery. A mix of supercells and linear segments will be possible, posing an all-hazards severe risk.
Day 5/Thu
Severe potential should be lower on Thursday as the upper trough and weakens at it shifts east across the Ohio Valley. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into the TN Valley, with modest instability and limited heating tempering severe potential.
Day 6/Fri - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest
Medium range guidance has been fairly consistent the past several forecast cycles in bringing a large-scale upper eastward from the Rockies into the Plains Friday/Friday night. This should result in surface cyclogenesis across portions of the Upper Midwest with a trailing cold front extending into the southern Plains. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist/unstable airmass will be in place beneath strengthening southwesterly deep-layer flow. This should support a severe risk ahead of the front.
Days 7-8/Sat-Sun
The upper trough will continue east over the eastern U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. Stronger ascent will shift northeast into Canada. Deep-layer flow parallel to the surface front and a narrowing warm sector should limit severe potential.
..Leitman.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, April 18
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, April 15 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, April 16 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, April 17 | 15% |
| Day 7 | Saturday, April 18 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, April 19 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120839 SPC AC 120839
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 151200Z - 201200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Southern Plains to southern Wisconsin
An upper trough will be oriented over the central/southern High Plains Wednesday morning. This feature will shift east to the Mississippi River by Thursday morning. As this occurs, strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread a moist and unstable airmass from TX toward the Great Lakes. Some convection may be ongoing Wednesday morning, resulting in some uncertainty regarding airmass recovery and convective evolution during the afternoon/evening. However, persistent southerly low-level flow ahead of a dryline and continued warm advection should support areas of airmass recovery. A mix of supercells and linear segments will be possible, posing an all-hazards severe risk.
Day 5/Thu
Severe potential should be lower on Thursday as the upper trough and weakens at it shifts east across the Ohio Valley. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into the TN Valley, with modest instability and limited heating tempering severe potential.
Day 6/Fri - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest
Medium range guidance has been fairly consistent the past several forecast cycles in bringing a large-scale upper eastward from the Rockies into the Plains Friday/Friday night. This should result in surface cyclogenesis across portions of the Upper Midwest with a trailing cold front extending into the southern Plains. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist/unstable airmass will be in place beneath strengthening southwesterly deep-layer flow. This should support a severe risk ahead of the front.
Days 7-8/Sat-Sun
The upper trough will continue east over the eastern U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. Stronger ascent will shift northeast into Canada. Deep-layer flow parallel to the surface front and a narrowing warm sector should limit severe potential.
..Leitman.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, April 19
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, April 15 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, April 16 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, April 17 | 15% |
| Day 7 | Saturday, April 18 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, April 19 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120839 SPC AC 120839
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Valid 151200Z - 201200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Southern Plains to southern Wisconsin
An upper trough will be oriented over the central/southern High Plains Wednesday morning. This feature will shift east to the Mississippi River by Thursday morning. As this occurs, strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread a moist and unstable airmass from TX toward the Great Lakes. Some convection may be ongoing Wednesday morning, resulting in some uncertainty regarding airmass recovery and convective evolution during the afternoon/evening. However, persistent southerly low-level flow ahead of a dryline and continued warm advection should support areas of airmass recovery. A mix of supercells and linear segments will be possible, posing an all-hazards severe risk.
Day 5/Thu
Severe potential should be lower on Thursday as the upper trough and weakens at it shifts east across the Ohio Valley. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into the TN Valley, with modest instability and limited heating tempering severe potential.
Day 6/Fri - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest
Medium range guidance has been fairly consistent the past several forecast cycles in bringing a large-scale upper eastward from the Rockies into the Plains Friday/Friday night. This should result in surface cyclogenesis across portions of the Upper Midwest with a trailing cold front extending into the southern Plains. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist/unstable airmass will be in place beneath strengthening southwesterly deep-layer flow. This should support a severe risk ahead of the front.
Days 7-8/Sat-Sun
The upper trough will continue east over the eastern U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. Stronger ascent will shift northeast into Canada. Deep-layer flow parallel to the surface front and a narrowing warm sector should limit severe potential.
..Leitman.. 04/12/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, April 12
- TORNADO: 2%
- HAIL: 15%
- WIND: 5%
- Monday, April 13
- TORNADO: 5%
- HAIL: 30%
- WIND: 15%
- Tuesday, April 14
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Wednesday, April 15
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Thursday, April 16
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Friday, April 17
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Saturday, April 18
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Sunday, April 19
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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