Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

Outlook for Friday, October 4

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 041913

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 PM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 042000Z - 051200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

Little was changed to the existing outlook for the 20Z outlook except to remove the 10% general thunderstorm area from IL as the activity has diminished.

Otherwise, general storms will remain possible from the TX Coast into much of the Southeast, south of the Great Lakes high and within the relatively moist easterly flow regime.

..Jewell.. 10/04/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024/

Synopsis

A mid-level shortwave trough over the western Great Lakes will continue to quickly move east through the afternoon and a lingering thunderstorm cluster over west-central IL late this morning will gradually diminish as this disturbance becomes displaced.

Farther south, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible from parts of the Mid-Atlantic southwestward to the Gulf Coast/Southeast. Weak flow will limit storm intensity in these regions. A vigorous shortwave trough will move across the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies/Plains through tonight. While large-scale forcing and mid-level flow associated with the upper trough passage will be strong, thunderstorm coverage is expected to remain sparse due to a rather dry airmass present across these areas.

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, October 4: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, October 5: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 5%
Sunday, October 6: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Monday, October 7: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, October 8: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, October 9: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, October 10: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, October 11: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.