Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

Outlook for Friday, November 8

Outlook Summary

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through early evening Friday across parts of south-central to north Texas.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 061928

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CST Wed Nov 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL TO NORTH TX

### SUMMARY

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through early evening Friday across parts of south-central to north Texas.

Texas

A deep mid/upper-level cyclone is forecast to move north-northeastward from NM into the central High Plains on Friday. A surface low will move northward from the TX Panhandle vicinity into southwest KS, as a trailing outflow-reinforced cold front moves through parts of TX/OK. A surface ridge initially covering parts of the Plains and Midwest will tend to shift eastward with time, though the lingering influence of this ridge will tend to limit the northern extent of more substantial moisture return.

Extensive convection will likely be ongoing Friday morning across parts of west TX/OK. An isolated severe threat could accompany the storms along the southern periphery of ongoing convection during the morning, where somewhat more favorable instability will be in place. Uncertainties remain regarding the northward extent of substantial destabilization through the day. However, sufficient low-level and deep-layer shear will support potential for organized cells/clusters with at least an isolated severe threat. This threat could spread northeastward across parts of central/north TX through the day, before a likely weakening trend during the evening as stronger large-scale ascent lifts away from the warm sector.

A minor expansion to the Marginal Risk has been made across parts of TX based on the latest guidance, though uncertainty remains high regarding the eastern and northern extent of the organized severe threat, as well as the location of any corridors where a somewhat greater threat could evolve.

..Dean.. 11/06/2024

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, November 6: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, November 7: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 5%
Friday, November 8: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Saturday, November 9: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Sunday, November 10: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Monday, November 11: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, November 12: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, November 13: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.