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Outlook for Friday, November 15

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 140638

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.

Synopsis

A deepening cyclone initially centered near the NC Outer Banks on Friday morning is forecast to quickly move offshore through the day, as a trailing cold front moves across the Florida Peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. A deep mid/upper-level trough will move slowly eastward across the western CONUS, with some further amplification of this trough expected through the forecast period.

Thunderstorm potential will be low across most of the CONUS due to generally limited moisture/instability. Some thunderstorm potential may linger very early in the period across coastal NC, before the low moves farther offshore with time. Weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes will be possible across parts of central/northern CA into the Great Basin in association with the western trough. Confidence in sufficient coverage remains too low to include any general thunderstorm areas across the West at this time.

..Dean.. 11/14/2024

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

National Risk Overview

Thursday, November 14: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: low; WIND: 5%
Friday, November 15: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, November 16: ANY SEVERE: low
Sunday, November 17: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Monday, November 18: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Tuesday, November 19: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, November 20: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, November 21: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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