Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Thursday, January 23

Outlook Images

any severe low / uncertain

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

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Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 170942 SPC AC 170942

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

Valid 201200Z - 251200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe storms are not forecast through the Friday/D8 time frame, with generally cool and stable conditions persisting.

The large longwave trough will shift east out of the central CONUS especially on Tuesday D5, while additional waves or amplifications are expected from the Rockies into the Plains again from Wed/D6 into Friday/D8. Bouts of high pressure will be maintained over much of the CONUS as a result of this pattern, with little to no chance of appreciable low-level moisture return or destabilization over land.

..Jewell.. 01/17/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, January 17: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, January 18: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, January 19: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, January 20: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, January 21: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, January 22: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, January 23: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, January 24: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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